Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ekaterina AlexandrovaOpen full analysisTalia GibsonOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR64Friday, March 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alexandrova 66%34% Gibson
1.42Recorded odds2.78
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ekaterina AlexandrovaVSTalia Gibson
3Set 16
5Set 27

Talia Gibson won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ekaterina AlexandrovaTalia Gibson
54%
Career Win %
48%
55%
Win % on Hard
48%
70%
Holds Serve
73%
32%
Breaks Serve
26%
59%
1st Serve In
58%
68%
1st Serve Won
69%
42%
Return Pts Won
40%
5.3
Aces / match
4.7
41%
Tiebreak %
50%
55%
Deciding-set %
33%
1618
Rating
1535
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ekaterina Alexandrova58 serves
Where they place their serve
Talia Gibson74 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
26%Body
12%T
14%T
5%Body
29%Wide
23%Wide
14%Body
14%T
18%T
4%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Talia Gibson defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 6–3, 7–5 in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters 1000 on hard court, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Gibson's victory at 2.78 odds represents a significant result for the American, who came through a competitive second set to secure her place in the round of 32. Alexandrova, despite being favoured at 1.42, was unable to convert her status into a deep run at the California event. Gibson's composed performance, particularly in closing out the second set, demonstrates her capability to compete at the highest level of the women's game.