Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisElina SvitolinaOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 68%32% Svitolina
1.39Recorded odds2.96
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSElina Svitolina
7Set 15
6Set 24

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaElina Svitolina
78%
Career Win %
62%
80%
Win % on Hard
61%
81%
Holds Serve
69%
35%
Breaks Serve
37%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
73%
1st Serve Won
66%
44%
Return Pts Won
45%
6.4
Aces / match
3.3
57%
Tiebreak %
57%
60%
Deciding-set %
67%
1954
Rating
1762
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina75 serves
Where they place their serve
Elina Svitolina85 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
13%Body
21%T
16%T
12%Body
20%Wide
4%Wide
36%Body
13%T
16%T
20%Body
11%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T21%
Top targetDeuce · Body36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5, 6-4 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.39 to Svitolina's 2.96. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets saw her close out the match in straight sets, maintaining control despite Svitolina's competitive resistance in the opening set. The result sends Rybakina through to the final and underscores her consistency on the hard-court circuit, where she continues to demonstrate the form that has established her among the tour's elite competitors.