Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisEmma RaducanuOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR32Friday, August 29, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 60%40% Raducanu
1.62Recorded odds2.47
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSEmma Raducanu
6Set 11
6Set 22

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaEmma Raducanu
78%
Career Win %
52%
80%
Win % on Hard
52%
81%
Holds Serve
69%
35%
Breaks Serve
34%
58%
1st Serve In
67%
73%
1st Serve Won
64%
44%
Return Pts Won
43%
6.4
Aces / match
2.8
57%
Tiebreak %
55%
60%
Deciding-set %
42%
1954
Rating
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina45 serves
Where they place their serve
Emma Raducanu46 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
11%Body
20%T
11%T
20%Body
16%Wide
20%Wide
20%Body
13%T
17%T
17%Body
13%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · Wide20%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Emma Raducanu 6–1, 6–2 in the second round of the US Open on hard court on 29 August 2025, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.62 to Raducanu's 2.47. The Kazakhstani top seed controlled the match from the outset, breaking Raducanu's serve repeatedly to secure both sets with relative ease. Rybakina's dominant display saw her advance swiftly through the round, whilst Raducanu's campaign at Flushing Meadows came to an early conclusion. The result underscores Rybakina's current form on hard courts and her positioning as a serious contender for the title.