Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisIga ŚwiątekOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardQFWednesday, January 28, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 55%45% Świątek
1.71Recorded odds2.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSIga Świątek
7Set 15
6Set 21

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaIga Świątek
78%
Career Win %
83%
80%
Win % on Hard
81%
81%
Holds Serve
79%
35%
Breaks Serve
47%
58%
1st Serve In
64%
73%
1st Serve Won
68%
44%
Return Pts Won
49%
6.4
Aces / match
2.3
57%
Tiebreak %
65%
60%
Deciding-set %
73%
1954
Rating
1901
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina59 serves
Where they place their serve
Iga Świątek55 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
8%Body
29%T
14%T
5%Body
29%Wide
16%Wide
20%Body
16%T
18%T
22%Body
7%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T29%
Top targetAd · Body22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Świątek 7–5, 6–1 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard court, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.71 to Świątek's 2.13. Rybakina's dominant second set performance, where she conceded only one game, underscored her control throughout the encounter. The Kazakh player's superior court positioning and serving proved decisive against Świątek, who struggled to establish the rhythm that has defined her clay-court success. The decisive margin in the second set indicated a clear shift in momentum following the competitive opening set. Rybakina's progression to the semi-finals strengthens her claim as a genuine Grand Slam contender on hard courts.