Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisKaja JuvanOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Tuesday, January 20, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 92%8% Juvan
1.03Recorded odds12.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSKaja Juvan
6Set 14
6Set 23

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaKaja Juvan
78%
Career Win %
39%
80%
Win % on Hard
27%
81%
Holds Serve
69%
35%
Breaks Serve
27%
58%
1st Serve In
60%
73%
1st Serve Won
64%
44%
Return Pts Won
40%
6.4
Aces / match
2.2
57%
Tiebreak %
50%
60%
Deciding-set %
29%
1954
Rating
1494
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina56 serves
Where they place their serve
Kaja Juvan56 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
11%Body
18%T
11%T
4%Body
34%Wide
30%Wide
12%Body
11%T
11%T
16%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide34%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Kaja Juvan 6–4, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.03 to Juvan's 12.08. The Kazakhstani top seed controlled proceedings throughout, securing both sets with relative comfort and demonstrating the consistency expected of her seeding. Juvan offered modest resistance in the opening set but could not sustain competitive pressure in the second, as Rybakina's superiority in court positioning and execution proved decisive. The result marks a routine progression for Rybakina, whose early-round dominance suggests she remains well-positioned in the tournament draw.