Country	Name	Tour	Elo rank	Wins	Overall Elo	Opponent	Opp wins	Opp Elo	Match Time	Hand	Last 10

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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysis Naomi OsakaOpen full analysis

US Open, WomenhardR16Monday, September 7, 2026

No-vig market probability

Rybakina 57%43% Osaka

1.67Recorded odds2.20

FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSNaomi Osaka

6Set 11

6Set 24

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaNaomi Osaka

78%

Career Win %

59%

80%

Win % on Hard

64%

81%

Holds Serve

75%

35%

Breaks Serve

30%

58%

1st Serve In

58%

73%

1st Serve Won

72%

44%

Return Pts Won

42%

6.4

Aces / match

6.2

57%

Tiebreak %

42%

60%

Deciding-set %

56%

1954

Rating

1672

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Typical serve targets · career average

Elena Rybakina8808 serves

Where they place their serve

Naomi Osaka4556 serves

Where they place their serve

17%Wide

14%Body

21%T

13%T

9%Body

26%Wide

19%Wide

16%Body

18%T

19%T

13%Body

15%Wide

DeuceAdDeuceAd

Top targetAd · Wide26%

Top targetAd · T19%