Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisShuai ZhangOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardR32Tuesday, January 6, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 88%12% Zhang
1.11Recorded odds8.14
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSShuai Zhang
6Set 13
7Set 25

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaShuai Zhang
78%
Career Win %
25%
80%
Win % on Hard
23%
81%
Holds Serve
59%
35%
Breaks Serve
25%
58%
1st Serve In
66%
73%
1st Serve Won
60%
44%
Return Pts Won
39%
6.4
Aces / match
0.9
57%
Tiebreak %
0%
60%
Deciding-set %
50%
1954
Rating
1432
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina62 serves
Where they place their serve
Shuai Zhang63 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
10%Body
24%T
13%T
5%Body
29%Wide
22%Wide
10%Body
21%T
13%T
10%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetAd · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Shuai Zhang 6–3, 7–5 in the first round of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court on 6 January 2026, confirming her status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.11 to Zhang's 8.14. Rybakina controlled both sets with clinical efficiency, breaking serve at crucial moments to secure the opening set before edging a more competitive second frame. The result underscores Rybakina's continued dominance on hard courts and her positioning as one of the tournament's principal threats as she progresses toward the later rounds.