Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisTereza ValentovaOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR32Saturday, January 24, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 80%20% Valentova
1.18Recorded odds4.78
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSTereza Valentova
6Set 12
6Set 23

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaTereza Valentova
78%
Career Win %
65%
80%
Win % on Hard
65%
81%
Holds Serve
71%
35%
Breaks Serve
39%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
73%
1st Serve Won
67%
44%
Return Pts Won
46%
6.4
Aces / match
2.4
57%
Tiebreak %
38%
60%
Deciding-set %
75%
1954
Rating
1602
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina61 serves
Where they place their serve
Tereza Valentova58 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
15%Body
21%T
15%T
3%Body
30%Wide
33%Wide
10%Body
9%T
10%T
24%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Tereza Valentova 6–2, 6–3 in the second round of the Australian Open on hard court on 24 January 2026, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.18 to Valentova's 4.78. The Kazakhstani top seed controlled proceedings throughout, breaking down her Czech opponent's resistance with consistent pressure to secure a straightforward passage into the third round. Rybakina's commanding performance underscores her credentials as a genuine contender for the title, though the margin of victory offers limited insight into her depth of form against more formidable opposition.