Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisTereza ValentovaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 77%23% Valentova
1.27Recorded odds4.17
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSTereza Valentova
6Set 13
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaTereza Valentova
78%
Career Win %
65%
80%
Win % on Hard
65%
81%
Holds Serve
71%
35%
Breaks Serve
39%
58%
1st Serve In
61%
73%
1st Serve Won
67%
44%
Return Pts Won
46%
6.4
Aces / match
2.4
57%
Tiebreak %
38%
60%
Deciding-set %
75%
1954
Rating
1602
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina77 serves
Where they place their serve
Tereza Valentova67 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
13%Body
26%T
13%T
4%Body
30%Wide
25%Wide
22%Body
4%T
15%T
25%Body
7%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide30%
Top targetDeuce · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Tereza Valentova 6–3, 7–6 at the US Open on hard court in the first round, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.27 to Valentova's 4.17. The Kazakhstani top seed controlled the opening set decisively, breaking through Valentova's resistance to claim it 6–3. The second set proved more competitive, with Valentova mounting a stronger challenge and forcing a tie-break, but Rybakina's superior court positioning and serving prowess ultimately prevailed at 7–6. The result keeps Rybakina on course in her pursuit of a maiden Grand Slam title, having now advanced to the second round without facing significant resistance.