Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisVictoria MbokoOpen full analysis

DohahardQFThursday, February 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 72%28% Mboko
1.31Recorded odds3.39
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSVictoria Mboko
5Set 17
6Set 24
4Set 36

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaVictoria Mboko
78%
Career Win %
62%
80%
Win % on Hard
61%
81%
Holds Serve
69%
35%
Breaks Serve
35%
58%
1st Serve In
65%
73%
1st Serve Won
67%
44%
Return Pts Won
44%
6.4
Aces / match
4.1
57%
Tiebreak %
50%
60%
Deciding-set %
100%
1954
Rating
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina106 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Mboko108 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
18%Body
17%T
16%T
7%Body
25%Wide
19%Wide
18%Body
16%T
5%T
22%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide25%
Top targetAd · Body22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko upset favourite Elena Rybakina 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in the Qatar Open quarter-final on hard court, a significant result given Rybakina's odds of 1.31 to Mboko's 3.39 entering the match. The encounter proved competitive throughout, with momentum shifting between the pair across three sets. Mboko claimed the opening set before Rybakina levelled in the second, yet Mboko regained control decisively in the decider to secure her place in the semi-finals. The victory represents a notable scalp for Mboko against a top-ranked opponent and strengthens her credentials at Masters 1000 level.