Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaOpen full analysisVictoria MbokoOpen full analysis

MontrealhardSFWednesday, August 6, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 68%32% Mboko
1.43Recorded odds3.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSVictoria Mboko
6Set 11
5Set 27
6Set 37

Victoria Mboko won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaVictoria Mboko
78%
Career Win %
62%
80%
Win % on Hard
61%
81%
Holds Serve
69%
35%
Breaks Serve
35%
58%
1st Serve In
65%
73%
1st Serve Won
67%
44%
Return Pts Won
44%
6.4
Aces / match
4.1
57%
Tiebreak %
50%
60%
Deciding-set %
100%
1954
Rating
1630
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina111 serves
Where they place their serve
Victoria Mboko121 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
15%Body
14%T
17%T
15%Body
15%Wide
28%Wide
18%Body
5%T
12%T
17%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Victoria Mboko defeated Elena Rybakina 1–6, 7–5, 7–6 in the semi-final of the WTA Montreal Masters 1000 on hard court on 6 August 2025, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rybakina dominated the opening set with a commanding 6–1 victory, but Mboko recovered composure in the second, edging a tight 7–5 contest to force a decider. The final set went to a tiebreak, where Mboko's resilience proved decisive as she secured the 7–6 victory to advance to the final. This reversal from a set down represents a crucial breakthrough for Mboko at the Masters 1000 level and marks a notable loss for Rybakina in a late-stage tournament match.