Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elina SvitolinaOpen full analysisNaomi OsakaOpen full analysis

MontrealhardQFTuesday, August 5, 2025
No-vig market probability
Svitolina 57%43% Osaka
1.70Recorded odds2.30
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elina SvitolinaVSNaomi Osaka
2Set 16
2Set 26

Naomi Osaka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elina SvitolinaNaomi Osaka
62%
Career Win %
59%
61%
Win % on Hard
64%
69%
Holds Serve
75%
37%
Breaks Serve
30%
61%
1st Serve In
58%
66%
1st Serve Won
72%
45%
Return Pts Won
42%
3.3
Aces / match
6.2
57%
Tiebreak %
42%
67%
Deciding-set %
56%
1762
Rating
1672
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elina Svitolina43 serves
Where they place their serve
Naomi Osaka51 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
33%Body
7%T
9%T
28%Body
12%Wide
24%Wide
27%Body
2%T
25%T
12%Body
10%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body33%
Top targetDeuce · Body27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Naomi Osaka defeated Elina Svitolina 6–2, 6–2 in the quarterfinals of the Montreal Masters 1000 on hard court on 5 August 2025, delivering an upset against the pre-match favourite. Osaka's decisive victory, secured with a double-break performance in both sets, marks a significant result at this level of competition. The commanding scoreline suggests Osaka found her rhythm early and maintained control throughout, limiting Svitolina's opportunities to mount a sustained challenge. This result demonstrates Osaka's capacity to perform against seeded opposition and advances her deeper into a prestigious Masters 1000 event, positioning her well for the remainder of the tournament.