Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elise MertensOpen full analysisSorana CirsteaOpen full analysis

MiamihardR32Saturday, March 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mertens 53%47% Cirstea
1.79Recorded odds1.98
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elise MertensVSSorana Cirstea
3Set 16
2Set 26

Sorana Cirstea won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elise MertensSorana Cirstea
44%
Career Win %
48%
38%
Win % on Hard
58%
69%
Holds Serve
66%
31%
Breaks Serve
34%
61%
1st Serve In
61%
67%
1st Serve Won
64%
42%
Return Pts Won
44%
3.3
Aces / match
3.1
31%
Tiebreak %
56%
33%
Deciding-set %
30%
1523
Rating
1622
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elise Mertens48 serves
Where they place their serve
Sorana Cirstea66 serves
Where they place their serve
25%Wide
19%Body
6%T
4%T
27%Body
19%Wide
27%Wide
20%Body
6%T
18%T
21%Body
8%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sorana Cirstea defeated Elise Mertens 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court. The result represented an upset, as Mertens entered as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.79 to Cirstea's 1.98. Cirstea's dominant performance—dropping only five games across two sets—suggests she found her rhythm early and maintained control throughout. The Romanian's clinical execution on the hard courts of Miami proved too much for Mertens, who failed to mount a sustained challenge. This victory marks a significant statement from Cirstea in the early rounds of the tournament and positions her favourably for the second round.