Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Emma NavarroOpen full analysisMagda LinetteOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Sunday, January 18, 2026
No-vig market probability
Navarro 70%30% Linette
1.34Recorded odds3.19
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Emma NavarroVSMagda Linette
6Set 13
3Set 26
3Set 36

Magda Linette won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Emma NavarroMagda Linette
46%
Career Win %
44%
50%
Win % on Hard
43%
65%
Holds Serve
67%
33%
Breaks Serve
25%
66%
1st Serve In
61%
62%
1st Serve Won
64%
43%
Return Pts Won
40%
2.6
Aces / match
3.0
50%
Tiebreak %
50%
50%
Deciding-set %
65%
1587
Rating
1471
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Emma Navarro89 serves
Where they place their serve
Magda Linette78 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
24%Body
6%T
15%T
20%Body
13%Wide
15%Wide
22%Body
17%T
17%T
15%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body24%
Top targetDeuce · Body22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Magda Linette upset favoured Emma Navarro 3–6, 6–3, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court. Navarro, the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.34, lost the opening set before Linette seized control, winning the next two sets with consistent tennis to secure a comprehensive comeback victory. The result marks a significant upset, with Linette (3.19) defying expectations to advance from the opening round. Linette's comeback performance suggests improved form heading deeper into the tournament, whilst Navarro faces early elimination from a Grand Slam.