Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ethan QuinnOpen full analysisHubert HurkaczOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR64Thursday, January 22, 2026
No-vig market probability
Quinn 24%76% Hurkacz
3.90Recorded odds1.24
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ethan QuinnVSHubert Hurkacz
6Set 14
7Set 26
6Set 31

Ethan Quinn won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ethan QuinnHubert Hurkacz
50%
Career Win %
60%
57%
Win % on Hard
60%
81%
Holds Serve
88%
20%
Breaks Serve
16%
62%
1st Serve In
64%
72%
1st Serve Won
77%
37%
Return Pts Won
35%
8.1
Aces / match
12.1
50%
Tiebreak %
52%
0%
Deciding-set %
56%
1521
Rating
1568
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ethan Quinn108 serves
Where they place their serve
Hubert Hurkacz95 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
15%Body
15%T
18%T
8%Body
22%Wide
14%Wide
11%Body
28%T
18%T
8%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Ethan Quinn upset pre-match favourite Hubert Hurkacz 6–4, 7–6, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 22 January 2026. Despite entering as a 3.9 outsider against Hurkacz's 1.24 odds, Quinn controlled proceedings throughout, breaking serve in the opening set before claiming a tight second-set tiebreak and dominating the third. The result marks a significant scalp for Quinn early in the Australian summer and raises questions about Hurkacz's form heading into the year's opening Grand Slam.