Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ethan QuinnOpen full analysisJakub MenšíkOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR32Saturday, January 24, 2026
No-vig market probability
Quinn 35%65% Menšík
2.69Recorded odds1.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ethan QuinnVSJakub Menšík
2Set 16
6Set 27
6Set 37

Jakub Menšík won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ethan QuinnJakub Menšík
50%
Career Win %
56%
57%
Win % on Hard
59%
81%
Holds Serve
84%
20%
Breaks Serve
17%
62%
1st Serve In
61%
72%
1st Serve Won
77%
37%
Return Pts Won
35%
8.1
Aces / match
10.8
50%
Tiebreak %
68%
0%
Deciding-set %
50%
1521
Rating
1597
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ethan Quinn106 serves
Where they place their serve
Jakub Menšík102 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
18%Body
17%T
13%T
12%Body
23%Wide
24%Wide
3%Body
25%T
20%T
11%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide23%
Top targetDeuce · T25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jakub Menšík defeated Ethan Quinn 6–2, 7–6, 7–6 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 24 January 2026, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.45 to Quinn's 2.69. Menšík's victory was methodical rather than dominant, with Quinn competing effectively in the second and third sets before losing both tiebreaks. The Czech player's consistency in closing out tight contests under pressure proved decisive, particularly in the final two sets where Quinn had opportunities to force a fourth set. This result maintains Menšík's momentum in the early stages of the tournament as he advances to the second round.