Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Federico CoriaOpen full analysisJoao FonsecaOpen full analysis

Buenos AiresclayR16Thursday, February 13, 2025
No-vig market probability
Coria 17%83% Fonseca
5.78Recorded odds1.18
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Federico CoriaVSJoao Fonseca
6Set 12
4Set 26
2Set 36

Joao Fonseca won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Federico CoriaJoao Fonseca
20%
Career Win %
59%
33%
Win % on Clay
56%
61%
Holds Serve
84%
21%
Breaks Serve
20%
64%
1st Serve In
66%
59%
1st Serve Won
71%
38%
Return Pts Won
36%
2.7
Aces / match
5.5
33%
Deciding-set %
44%
1392
Rating
1601
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Federico Coria87 serves
Where they place their serve
Joao Fonseca80 serves
Where they place their serve
13%Wide
2%Body
37%T
8%T
3%Body
37%Wide
21%Wide
4%Body
28%T
9%T
4%Body
35%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T37%
Top targetAd · Wide35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Joao Fonseca defeated Federico Coria 2–6, 6–4, 6–2 in the second round of the ATP 250 Buenos Aires tournament on clay on 13 February 2025, confirming his status as the clear pre-match favourite. Coria, competing at home, began strongly to claim the opening set, but Fonseca's superior consistency asserted itself in the second and third sets as the Argentine's level dropped. The Brazilian teenager recovered from the early setback to control the latter stages of the match, securing a commanding victory that underscores his upward trajectory on the ATP circuit. The result advances Fonseca deeper into the Buenos Aires draw, where the home crowd's initial support for Coria proved insufficient to sustain his challenge.