Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Félix Auger-AliassimeOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

US OpenhardSFSaturday, September 6, 2025
No-vig market probability
Auger-Aliassime 6%94% Sinner
15.13Recorded odds1.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Félix Auger-AliassimeVSJannik Sinner
1Set 16
6Set 23
3Set 36
4Set 46

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Félix Auger-AliassimeJannik Sinner
49%
Career Win %
78%
51%
Win % on Hard
79%
84%
Holds Serve
88%
16%
Breaks Serve
28%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
76%
1st Serve Won
76%
34%
Return Pts Won
41%
9.5
Aces / match
6.5
48%
Tiebreak %
69%
58%
Deciding-set %
56%
1646
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Félix Auger-Aliassime111 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner109 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
14%Body
18%T
16%T
18%Body
14%Wide
15%Wide
11%Body
28%T
17%T
8%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide20%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 6–1, 3–6, 6–3, 6–4 in the US Open semi-final on hard court, confirming his status as heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.05 to Auger-Aliassime's 15.13. Sinner dominated the opening set, breaking serve early and maintaining control, though Auger-Aliassime responded with a composed second set to level the match. The Italian reasserted his authority thereafter, winning the third and fourth sets with consistent pressure and precision to advance to the final. The result underscores Sinner's current dominance on hard courts and his trajectory towards a second Grand Slam title of 2025.