Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Flavio CobolliOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR32Saturday, August 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cobolli 29%71% Musetti
3.38Recorded odds1.37
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Flavio CobolliVSLorenzo Musetti
3Set 16
2Set 26
0Set 32

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Flavio CobolliLorenzo Musetti
44%
Career Win %
56%
50%
Win % on Hard
45%
77%
Holds Serve
79%
14%
Breaks Serve
22%
58%
1st Serve In
64%
70%
1st Serve Won
69%
33%
Return Pts Won
38%
5.3
Aces / match
3.7
50%
Tiebreak %
45%
78%
Deciding-set %
69%
1557
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Flavio Cobolli54 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti62 serves
Where they place their serve
26%Wide
7%Body
19%T
9%T
7%Body
31%Wide
19%Wide
2%Body
31%T
23%T
8%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetDeuce · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Flavio Cobolli at the US Open on hard court in the second round, securing a decisive 6–3, 6–2 victory with the match suspended at 2–0 in the third set. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.37, Musetti delivered as expected, controlling proceedings from the baseline and breaking Cobolli's serve multiple times to establish commanding leads in both completed sets. Cobolli, the outsider at 3.38, struggled to find rhythm against Musetti's consistency and could not mount a sustained challenge. The Italian's emphatic performance underscores his growing confidence on hard courts and positions him well for a deeper run at Flushing Meadows.