Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Flavio CobolliOpen full analysisSebastian BaezOpen full analysis

BucharestclayFSunday, April 6, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cobolli 39%61% Baez
2.52Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Flavio CobolliVSSebastian Baez
6Set 14
6Set 24

Flavio Cobolli won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Flavio CobolliSebastian Baez
44%
Career Win %
38%
38%
Win % on Clay
55%
77%
Holds Serve
68%
14%
Breaks Serve
25%
58%
1st Serve In
71%
70%
1st Serve Won
62%
33%
Return Pts Won
39%
5.3
Aces / match
1.3
50%
Tiebreak %
17%
78%
Deciding-set %
54%
1557
Rating
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Flavio Cobolli69 serves
Where they place their serve
Sebastian Baez74 serves
Where they place their serve
13%Wide
6%Body
33%T
9%T
19%Body
20%Wide
12%Wide
9%Body
28%T
14%T
4%Body
32%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T33%
Top targetAd · Wide32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Flavio Cobolli defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4, 6-4 in the final of the ATP 250 Bucharest on clay on 6 April 2025, securing an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Baez had entered the match as the odds-on favourite at 1.60, with Cobolli priced at 2.52, yet the Italian proved the superior player across both sets, winning each with identical scorelines. The comprehensive nature of the victory—two straight sets without requiring a tiebreak—demonstrated Cobolli's dominance on the surface. This maiden ATP 250 title represents a significant breakthrough for Cobolli and marks a notable reversal in form for Baez, who failed to convert favouritism into a trophy.