Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Francisco CerundoloOpen full analysisGrigor DimitrovOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardQFWednesday, March 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cerundolo 48%52% Dimitrov
2.03Recorded odds1.88
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Francisco CerundoloVSGrigor Dimitrov
7Set 16
4Set 26
6Set 37

Grigor Dimitrov won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Francisco CerundoloGrigor Dimitrov
38%
Career Win %
51%
36%
Win % on Hard
52%
73%
Holds Serve
83%
23%
Breaks Serve
18%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
66%
1st Serve Won
75%
38%
Return Pts Won
36%
3.3
Aces / match
6.8
25%
Tiebreak %
53%
31%
Deciding-set %
54%
1538
Rating
1724
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Francisco Cerundolo115 serves
Where they place their serve
Grigor Dimitrov108 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
15%Body
22%T
12%T
16%Body
19%Wide
26%Wide
4%Body
24%T
14%T
10%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T22%
Top targetDeuce · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6–7, 6–4, 7–6 in the Miami Masters quarter-final on hard court on 26 March 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.88 to Cerundolo's 2.03. The Bulgarian navigated a tightly contested affair that went the distance, with both the opening and deciding sets decided by tiebreak. Dimitrov's composure in the crucial moments, particularly in the third-set tiebreak, proved decisive against a determined Cerundolo, who pushed the higher-ranked opponent throughout. The result keeps Dimitrov on course for a deep run at the Miami Masters and reinforces his standing as one of the tournament's leading contenders heading into the semi-finals.