Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Francisco CerundoloOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Paris MastershardR16Thursday, October 30, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cerundolo 7%93% Sinner
13.08Recorded odds1.04
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Francisco CerundoloVSJannik Sinner
5Set 17
1Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Francisco CerundoloJannik Sinner
38%
Career Win %
78%
36%
Win % on Hard
79%
73%
Holds Serve
88%
23%
Breaks Serve
28%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
66%
1st Serve Won
76%
38%
Return Pts Won
41%
3.3
Aces / match
6.5
25%
Tiebreak %
69%
31%
Deciding-set %
56%
1538
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Francisco Cerundolo64 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner49 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
9%Body
27%T
16%T
5%Body
28%Wide
18%Wide
0%Body
35%T
14%T
2%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · T35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7–5, 6–1 at the Paris Masters, an ATP Masters 1000 event, in the round of 16 on a hard court. As the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.04, Sinner delivered an assured performance to advance, winning a competitive first set before dominating the second to secure a straightforward progression. Cerundolo, a substantial underdog at 13.08, could not sustain resistance beyond the opening frame. The decisive nature of the second-set scoreline underscores Sinner's current form and control on hard courts at this elite level.