Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Francisco CerundoloOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Rome MastersclayR16Thursday, May 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Cerundolo 24%76% Sinner
4.00Recorded odds1.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Francisco CerundoloVSJannik Sinner
6Set 17
3Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Francisco CerundoloJannik Sinner
38%
Career Win %
78%
41%
Win % on Clay
77%
73%
Holds Serve
88%
23%
Breaks Serve
28%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
66%
1st Serve Won
76%
38%
Return Pts Won
41%
3.3
Aces / match
6.5
25%
Tiebreak %
69%
31%
Deciding-set %
56%
1538
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Francisco Cerundolo86 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner91 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
21%Body
17%T
10%T
20%Body
17%Wide
15%Wide
16%Body
19%T
9%T
15%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body21%
Top targetAd · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7–6, 6–3 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay on 15 May 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.29 to Cerundolo's 4.0. Sinner's victory followed expectation, though Cerundolo pushed the Italian to a first-set tiebreak before Sinner asserted control in the second. The result underscores Sinner's continued dominance on the Italian clay swing as he progresses deeper into the tournament.