Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Gabriel DialloOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayQFThursday, May 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Diallo 20%80% Musetti
4.91Recorded odds1.22
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Gabriel DialloVSLorenzo Musetti
4Set 16
3Set 26

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Gabriel DialloLorenzo Musetti
36%
Career Win %
56%
0%
Win % on Clay
67%
79%
Holds Serve
79%
12%
Breaks Serve
22%
65%
1st Serve In
64%
72%
1st Serve Won
69%
32%
Return Pts Won
38%
9.1
Aces / match
3.7
20%
Tiebreak %
45%
0%
Deciding-set %
69%
1481
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Gabriel Diallo62 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti57 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
15%Body
15%T
19%T
3%Body
26%Wide
9%Wide
12%Body
32%T
18%T
12%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide26%
Top targetDeuce · T32%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Gabriel Diallo 6–4, 6–3 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.22. Diallo, positioned as a significant underdog at 4.91, was unable to mount a sustained challenge against the Italian, who controlled proceedings with clinical efficiency across both sets. The decisive margins in each set underlined Musetti's dominance on the Madrid clay, where he has historically thrived. The victory advances Musetti into the semi-finals and reinforces his credentials as a genuine contender in this Masters 1000 event.