Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Gael MonfilsOpen full analysisMatteo BerrettiniOpen full analysis

DubaihardR32Tuesday, February 25, 2025
No-vig market probability
Monfils 37%63% Berrettini
2.66Recorded odds1.53
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Gael MonfilsVSMatteo Berrettini
5Set 17
4Set 26

Matteo Berrettini won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Gael MonfilsMatteo Berrettini
54%
Career Win %
59%
56%
Win % on Hard
53%
79%
Holds Serve
88%
21%
Breaks Serve
15%
61%
1st Serve In
65%
73%
1st Serve Won
78%
37%
Return Pts Won
34%
8.1
Aces / match
10.6
47%
Tiebreak %
57%
55%
Deciding-set %
50%
1635
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Gael Monfils63 serves
Where they place their serve
Matteo Berrettini53 serves
Where they place their serve
37%Wide
2%Body
16%T
11%T
3%Body
32%Wide
19%Wide
6%Body
30%T
21%T
2%Body
23%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide37%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Berrettini defeated Gael Monfils 7–5, 6–4 in the first round of the Dubai Masters 1000 on hard court. The Italian, seeded as the pre-match favourite at 1.53 odds, justified that status with a composed performance to advance from the opening round. Berrettini's serve and baseline consistency proved decisive across both sets, as he managed the Frenchman's aggressive tendencies to secure a straightforward victory. The result extends Berrettini's early-season form at a tournament where he has consistently performed well, while Monfils departs without taking a set from a player ranked above him in the draw.