Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardOpen full analysisReilly OpelkaOpen full analysis

BrisbanehardSFSaturday, January 4, 2025
No-vig market probability
Perricard 58%42% Opelka
1.69Recorded odds2.30
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardVSReilly Opelka
3Set 16
6Set 27

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardReilly Opelka
42%
Career Win %
50%
46%
Win % on Hard
50%
89%
Holds Serve
90%
6%
Breaks Serve
8%
66%
1st Serve In
66%
78%
1st Serve Won
77%
26%
Return Pts Won
28%
17.0
Aces / match
16.4
56%
Tiebreak %
54%
44%
Deciding-set %
46%
1472
Rating
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard69 serves
Where they place their serve
Reilly Opelka64 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
1%Body
30%T
25%T
0%Body
23%Wide
20%Wide
3%Body
28%T
23%T
0%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6–3, 7–6 in the Brisbane ATP 250 semi-final on hard court on 4 January 2025, an upset victory over the pre-match favourite. Opelka, priced at 2.30 to Perricard's 1.69, converted his opportunity to reach the final with a composed performance that saw him secure the opening set convincingly before edging a competitive second-set tie-break. The result marks a significant scalp for the American and suggests strong form heading into the tournament's final round.