Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hailey BaptisteOpen full analysisMirra AndreevaOpen full analysis

MadridclaySFThursday, April 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Baptiste 36%64% Andreeva
2.65Recorded odds1.47
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hailey BaptisteVSMirra Andreeva
4Set 16
6Set 27

Mirra Andreeva won the match

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hailey Baptiste78 serves
Where they place their serve
Mirra Andreeva62 serves
Where they place their serve
18%Wide
3%Body
33%T
12%T
9%Body
26%Wide
19%Wide
2%Body
34%T
21%T
6%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T33%
Top targetDeuce · T34%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Mirra Andreeva defeated Hailey Baptiste 6–4, 7–6 in the Madrid Masters 1000 semi-final on clay on 30 April 2026, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.47 to Baptiste's 2.65. The Russian teenager's composed performance in both sets, particularly her ability to secure the second set via a tie-break, demonstrated her growing mastery on the Spanish surface and advancing maturity in high-pressure situations. Andreeva's progression to the final represents a significant milestone in her continued ascent through the elite ranks and positions her to challenge for one of the year's most prestigious titles on clay.