Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hailey BaptisteOpen full analysisNaomi OsakaOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Thursday, August 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Baptiste 20%80% Osaka
4.84Recorded odds1.22
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hailey BaptisteVSNaomi Osaka
3Set 16
1Set 26

Naomi Osaka won the match

SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hailey Baptiste52 serves
Where they place their serve
Naomi Osaka47 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
21%Body
6%T
4%T
27%Body
19%Wide
6%Wide
34%Body
17%T
15%T
13%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body27%
Top targetDeuce · Body34%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Naomi Osaka defeated Hailey Baptiste 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the US Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.22 against Baptiste's 4.84. The Japanese former champion's dominance was evident from the outset, with Baptiste unable to sustain competitive pressure across either set. Osaka's clinical performance—particularly her control in the second set—suggests she has entered the tournament with considerable momentum. The margin of victory underscores the gap between the two players' current form and pedigree, with Osaka advancing smoothly to the second round where further tests await.