Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

Roland GarrosclayR16Sunday, June 1, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 34%66% Musetti
2.85Recorded odds1.49
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSLorenzo Musetti
5Set 17
6Set 23
3Set 36
2Set 46

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneLorenzo Musetti
52%
Career Win %
56%
59%
Win % on Clay
67%
79%
Holds Serve
79%
17%
Breaks Serve
22%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
70%
1st Serve Won
69%
35%
Return Pts Won
38%
5.1
Aces / match
3.7
54%
Tiebreak %
45%
50%
Deciding-set %
69%
1565
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune120 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti124 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
5%Body
21%T
12%T
3%Body
31%Wide
15%Wide
9%Body
27%T
19%T
9%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetDeuce · T27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Holger Rune 7–5, 3–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the Roland Garros round of 16 on clay, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.49. Rune, who entered at 2.85, competed strongly in the opening set before Musetti's control intensified across the final three sets. The Italian's dominance grew progressively, particularly in the fourth set, where he secured a commanding 6–2 scoreline to advance. Musetti's victory underscores his clay-court credentials and positions him favourably for the quarterfinals at Roland Garros.