Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hubert HurkaczOpen full analysisJohn MillmanOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayR64Tuesday, May 4, 2021
No-vig market probability
Hurkacz 67%33% Millman
1.45Recorded odds2.98
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hubert HurkaczVSJohn Millman
7Set 15
6Set 27
3Set 36

John Millman won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hubert HurkaczJohn Millman
60%
Career Win %
50%
60%
Win % on Clay
50%
88%
Holds Serve
81%
16%
Breaks Serve
20%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
77%
1st Serve Won
69%
35%
Return Pts Won
36%
12.1
Aces / match
4.1
52%
Tiebreak %
30%
56%
Deciding-set %
40%
1568
Rating
1549
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hubert Hurkacz99 serves
Where they place their serve
John Millman98 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
5%Body
32%T
17%T
13%Body
17%Wide
24%Wide
16%Body
12%T
11%T
8%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T32%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

John Millman upset Hubert Hurkacz 5–7, 7–6, 6–3 in the first round of the Madrid Masters on clay on 4 May 2021. Millman, ranked well below Hurkacz in the pre-match odds at 2.98 against his opponent's 1.45, recovered from losing the opening set to force a tiebreak in the second. The Australian won the crucial second-set tiebreak and then dominated the third set to secure a significant upset victory. This result marked a notable upset at a Masters 1000 event, where Hurkacz had entered as the clear favourite but failed to convert that advantage on the Madrid clay court.