Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hubert HurkaczOpen full analysisStan WawrinkaOpen full analysis

United CuphardFSunday, January 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Hurkacz 81%19% Wawrinka
1.17Recorded odds5.00
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hubert HurkaczVSStan Wawrinka
6Set 13
3Set 26
6Set 33

Hubert Hurkacz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hubert HurkaczStan Wawrinka
60%
Career Win %
47%
60%
Win % on Hard
48%
88%
Holds Serve
82%
16%
Breaks Serve
17%
64%
1st Serve In
58%
77%
1st Serve Won
73%
35%
Return Pts Won
35%
12.1
Aces / match
7.7
52%
Tiebreak %
55%
56%
Deciding-set %
40%
1568
Rating
1520
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hubert Hurkacz90 serves
Where they place their serve
Stan Wawrinka78 serves
Where they place their serve
22%Wide
6%Body
24%T
22%T
1%Body
24%Wide
18%Wide
5%Body
29%T
12%T
3%Body
33%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T24%
Top targetAd · Wide33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Stan Wawrinka 6–3, 3–6, 6–3 in the final of the United Cup, an ATP 250 event on hard court on 11 January 2026. The Polish player controlled the opening set with a commanding display before Wawrinka recovered to level the match in the second. However, Hurkacz reasserted his dominance in the decider, securing the title with a convincing performance in the third set. The victory marks a significant trophy for Hurkacz early in the season and demonstrates his continued form on hard courts.