Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hubert HurkaczOpen full analysisZhizhen ZhangOpen full analysis

MarseillehardR16Thursday, February 13, 2025
No-vig market probability
Hurkacz 77%23% Zhang
1.27Recorded odds4.24
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hubert HurkaczVSZhizhen Zhang
4Set 16
7Set 26
3Set 36

Zhizhen Zhang won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hubert HurkaczZhizhen Zhang
60%
Career Win %
22%
60%
Win % on Hard
29%
88%
Holds Serve
81%
16%
Breaks Serve
11%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
77%
1st Serve Won
72%
35%
Return Pts Won
31%
12.1
Aces / match
7.8
52%
Tiebreak %
17%
56%
Deciding-set %
57%
1568
Rating
1418
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hubert Hurkacz95 serves
Where they place their serve
Zhizhen Zhang95 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
6%Body
29%T
18%T
5%Body
24%Wide
18%Wide
2%Body
34%T
19%T
5%Body
22%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T29%
Top targetDeuce · T34%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Zhizhen Zhang defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6–4, 6–7, 6–3 in the round of 16 at the ATP 250 event in Marseille on hard court, pulling off a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Hurkacz entered as the clear favourite at odds of 1.27, with Zhang at 4.24, yet the Chinese player proved the superior competitor across the three sets. After taking the opening set comfortably, Zhang was pushed to a tiebreak in the second before clinching it and consolidating his advantage in the decider to secure the victory. The result marks a notable scalp for Zhang and suggests improving form heading into the latter stages of the tournament.