Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hugo GastonOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Tuesday, January 20, 2026
No-vig market probability
Gaston 4%96% Sinner
26.85Recorded odds1.01
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hugo GastonVSJannik Sinner
2Set 16
1Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hugo GastonJannik Sinner
53%
Career Win %
78%
54%
Win % on Hard
79%
75%
Holds Serve
88%
24%
Breaks Serve
28%
56%
1st Serve In
61%
69%
1st Serve Won
76%
39%
Return Pts Won
41%
1.5
Aces / match
6.5
33%
Tiebreak %
69%
40%
Deciding-set %
56%
1524
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hugo Gaston47 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner45 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
6%Body
30%T
9%T
15%Body
23%Wide
24%Wide
9%Body
20%T
18%T
9%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T30%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Hugo Gaston 6–2, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, a result that confirmed the heavy pre-match odds in Sinner's favour. The Italian top seed secured a commanding victory, dispatching the Frenchman with relative ease to advance through the opening stage of the season's first Grand Slam. Gaston, a substantial underdog at 26.85, offered little resistance against Sinner's superior play, conceding both sets by significant margins. The decisive nature of the scoreline underscores Sinner's current form heading into the tournament and his continued positioning as a leading contender for the title.