PHANTOM STAT

Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hugo GastonOpen full analysisNicolai Budkov KjaerOpen full analysis

CincinnatihardWednesday, August 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Gaston 50%50% Kjaer
1.83Recorded odds1.83
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hugo GastonVSNicolai Budkov Kjaer
2Set 16
6Set 23
4Set 36

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hugo GastonNicolai Budkov Kjaer
55%
Career Win %
50%
56%
Win % on Hard
50%
76%
Holds Serve
73%
23%
Breaks Serve
23%
56%
1st Serve In
67%
69%
1st Serve Won
65%
38%
Return Pts Won
38%
1.9
Aces / match
4.0
50%
Tiebreak %
100%
43%
Deciding-set %
100%
1544
Rating
1501
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Typical serve targets · career average

Hugo Gaston919 serves
Where they place their serve
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer191 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
15%Body
23%T
5%T
8%Body
35%Wide
8%Wide
13%Body
33%T
10%T
17%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide35%
Top targetDeuce · T33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Hugo Gaston 6–2, 3–6, 6–4 at the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati event on hard court. Despite being paired as the slight favourite in a closely matched contest, Budkov Kjaer's victory followed the pre-match odds. The Dane controlled the opening set convincingly, but Gaston mounted a response in the second to level the match. Budkov Kjaer reasserted his authority in the decider, securing the win in straight sets. The result underscores Budkov Kjaer's consistency at Masters level and his ability to manage momentum shifts against competitive opponents.