Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Hugo GastonOpen full analysisYoshihito NishiokaOpen full analysis

Miami MastershardR128Thursday, March 20, 2025
No-vig market probability
Gaston 41%59% Nishioka
2.33Recorded odds1.65
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Hugo GastonVSYoshihito Nishioka
6Set 14
3Set 21

Hugo Gaston won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Hugo GastonYoshihito Nishioka
53%
Career Win %
32%
54%
Win % on Hard
34%
75%
Holds Serve
70%
24%
Breaks Serve
16%
56%
1st Serve In
64%
69%
1st Serve Won
62%
39%
Return Pts Won
34%
1.5
Aces / match
2.0
33%
Tiebreak %
42%
40%
Deciding-set %
64%
1524
Rating
1412
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Hugo Gaston45 serves
Where they place their serve
Yoshihito Nishioka47 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
16%Body
16%T
2%T
29%Body
18%Wide
21%Wide
6%Body
23%T
9%T
15%Body
26%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body29%
Top targetAd · Wide26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Hugo Gaston defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4, 3-1 at the Miami Masters (M1000) on hard court in the first round on 20 March 2025, causing an upset as Nishioka entered the match as the pre-match favourite at 1.65 odds to Gaston's 2.33. The Frenchman's victory demonstrated control in the opening set, securing it 6-4, before establishing a commanding position in the second set with a 3-1 lead when the match was recorded. Gaston's upset win suggests improved form heading into the tournament's deeper rounds, while Nishioka's loss marks a disappointing start to his Miami campaign despite being seeded higher in the betting markets.