Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iga ŚwiątekOpen full analysisJasmine PaoliniOpen full analysis

CincinnatihardFMonday, August 18, 2025
No-vig market probability
Świątek 84%16% Paolini
1.16Recorded odds6.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iga ŚwiątekVSJasmine Paolini
7Set 15
6Set 24

Iga Świątek won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iga ŚwiątekJasmine Paolini
83%
Career Win %
62%
81%
Win % on Hard
52%
79%
Holds Serve
68%
47%
Breaks Serve
38%
64%
1st Serve In
68%
68%
1st Serve Won
62%
49%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.3
Aces / match
1.2
65%
Tiebreak %
71%
73%
Deciding-set %
61%
1901
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iga Świątek78 serves
Where they place their serve
Jasmine Paolini64 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
18%Body
18%T
5%T
29%Body
14%Wide
12%Wide
33%Body
8%T
17%T
16%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body29%
Top targetDeuce · Body33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Iga Świątek defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5, 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters 1000 final on hard court, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.16 to Paolini's 6.08. The Polish world number one controlled the match throughout, breaking serve at crucial moments to secure both sets and claim her second Cincinnati title. Świątek's composed performance in the final underscored her dominance on hard courts this season, whilst Paolini's inability to sustain the pressure in key moments proved costly in her bid for a second Masters title. The victory extends Świątek's winning streak and reinforces her credentials as a leading contender heading into the US Open.