Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iga ŚwiątekOpen full analysisKarolína MuchováOpen full analysis

Indian WellshardR16Wednesday, March 11, 2026
No-vig market probability
Świątek 64%36% Muchová
1.47Recorded odds2.64
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iga ŚwiątekVSKarolína Muchová
6Set 12
6Set 20

Iga Świątek won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iga ŚwiątekKarolína Muchová
83%
Career Win %
65%
81%
Win % on Hard
69%
79%
Holds Serve
76%
47%
Breaks Serve
34%
64%
1st Serve In
63%
68%
1st Serve Won
67%
49%
Return Pts Won
43%
2.3
Aces / match
3.6
65%
Tiebreak %
73%
73%
Deciding-set %
56%
1901
Rating
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iga Świątek59 serves
Where they place their serve
Karolína Muchová39 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
20%Body
19%T
12%T
10%Body
27%Wide
23%Wide
10%Body
18%T
13%T
8%Body
28%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetAd · Wide28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Iga Świątek defeated Karolína Muchová 6–2, 6–0 in the Indian Wells R16 on hard court, a result that confirmed pre-match odds favouring the Polish top seed. Świątek's dominant performance saw her drop only two games across two sets, delivering a comprehensive display against Muchová. The decisive margin reflects Świątek's control throughout the encounter, as she moved smoothly into the quarterfinals of the Miami-based Masters 1000 event. This commanding victory underscores Świątek's current form on the hard-court swing and strengthens her positioning in the tournament.