Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iga ŚwiątekOpen full analysisMaria SakkariOpen full analysis

DohahardQFThursday, February 12, 2026
No-vig market probability
Świątek 86%14% Sakkari
1.09Recorded odds6.74
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iga ŚwiątekVSMaria Sakkari
6Set 12
4Set 26
5Set 37

Maria Sakkari won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iga ŚwiątekMaria Sakkari
83%
Career Win %
47%
81%
Win % on Hard
46%
79%
Holds Serve
68%
47%
Breaks Serve
30%
64%
1st Serve In
61%
68%
1st Serve Won
65%
49%
Return Pts Won
42%
2.3
Aces / match
3.3
65%
Tiebreak %
44%
73%
Deciding-set %
38%
1901
Rating
1587
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iga Świątek83 serves
Where they place their serve
Maria Sakkari102 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
19%Body
18%T
11%T
6%Body
31%Wide
21%Wide
6%Body
26%T
21%T
7%Body
20%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetDeuce · T26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Maria Sakkari defeated Iga Świątek 2–6, 6–4, 7–5 in the Qatar Open quarter-final on hard court in Doha on 12 February 2026, producing a significant upset against the heavy favourite. Świątek entered as the clear pre-match favourite at 1.09 odds, whilst Sakkari was positioned as an underdog at 6.74, yet the Greek player mounted a strong comeback after losing the opening set. Sakkari's second-set recovery proved decisive, establishing momentum that carried into a tight decider where she edged out her opponent in the final set. The result represents a notable scalp for Sakkari and raises questions about Świątek's consistency on hard courts in the early season.