Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iva JovicOpen full analysisJasmine PaoliniOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR32Friday, January 23, 2026
No-vig market probability
Jovic 44%56% Paolini
2.16Recorded odds1.68
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iva JovicVSJasmine Paolini
6Set 12
7Set 26

Iva Jovic won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iva JovicJasmine Paolini
68%
Career Win %
62%
70%
Win % on Hard
52%
70%
Holds Serve
68%
40%
Breaks Serve
38%
61%
1st Serve In
68%
63%
1st Serve Won
62%
46%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.2
Aces / match
1.2
50%
Tiebreak %
71%
57%
Deciding-set %
61%
1667
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iva Jovic59 serves
Where they place their serve
Jasmine Paolini71 serves
Where they place their serve
14%Wide
29%Body
8%T
29%T
12%Body
8%Wide
23%Wide
15%Body
14%T
18%T
11%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Iva Jovic upset second-round favourite Jasmine Paolini at the Australian Open on hard court, claiming a 6–2, 7–6 victory in the second round. Despite entering as the underdog at odds of 2.16 against Paolini's 1.68, Jovic controlled the opening set with a decisive margin before edging a competitive second set that went to a tiebreak. The result represents a significant scalp for Jovic and suggests she possesses the form and tactical acuity to trouble established top-20 players on the WTA circuit.