Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
Return to calendar
FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iva JovicOpen full analysisJasmine PaoliniOpen full analysis

US OpenhardR64Wednesday, August 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Jovic 29%71% Paolini
3.41Recorded odds1.36
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iva JovicVSJasmine Paolini
3Set 16
3Set 26

Jasmine Paolini won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iva JovicJasmine Paolini
67%
Career Win %
62%
69%
Win % on Hard
52%
69%
Holds Serve
68%
40%
Breaks Serve
38%
61%
1st Serve In
68%
63%
1st Serve Won
62%
46%
Return Pts Won
45%
2.3
Aces / match
1.2
50%
Tiebreak %
71%
57%
Deciding-set %
61%
1644
Rating
1629
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iva Jovic53 serves
Where they place their serve
Jasmine Paolini75 serves
Where they place their serve
19%Wide
23%Body
9%T
11%T
11%Body
26%Wide
13%Wide
15%Body
23%T
23%T
15%Body
12%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide26%
Top targetDeuce · T23%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jasmine Paolini defeated Iva Jovic 6–3, 6–3 in the first round of the US Open on hard court at Flushing Meadows. As the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.36, Paolini delivered an expected result against Jovic, who entered as a significant underdog at 3.41. The Italian second seed controlled both sets with clinical efficiency, dropping only six games across the match to advance comfortably into the second round. The decisive margin reflects Paolini's current form and superiority on the hard court surface, where she has established herself as a genuine contender at the year's final Grand Slam.