Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Iva JovicOpen full analysisJessica PegulaOpen full analysis

DubaihardR16Wednesday, February 18, 2026
No-vig market probability
Jovic 32%68% Pegula
2.96Recorded odds1.38
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Iva JovicVSJessica Pegula
4Set 16
2Set 26

Jessica Pegula won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Iva JovicJessica Pegula
69%
Career Win %
60%
71%
Win % on Hard
62%
70%
Holds Serve
72%
40%
Breaks Serve
36%
61%
1st Serve In
62%
63%
1st Serve Won
66%
46%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.3
Aces / match
2.9
50%
Tiebreak %
53%
57%
Deciding-set %
54%
1678
Rating
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Iva Jovic59 serves
Where they place their serve
Jessica Pegula48 serves
Where they place their serve
5%Wide
22%Body
24%T
10%T
12%Body
27%Wide
19%Wide
15%Body
21%T
21%T
4%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · T21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jessica Pegula defeated Iva Jovic 6–4, 6–2 in the round of 16 at the Dubai WTA Masters 1000 on hard court. Pegula, the pre-match favourite at 1.38 odds, delivered a commanding performance to advance, breaking Jovic's resistance in both sets with clinical tennis. The American's superior court control and consistency proved decisive against her unseeded opponent, who entered as an underdog at 2.96. Pegula's victory underscores her status as a leading contender in the early-season hard-court calendar and sets up a quarter-final encounter with a stronger opponent from the upper bracket.