Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jack DraperOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclaySFFriday, May 2, 2025
No-vig market probability
Draper 62%38% Musetti
1.58Recorded odds2.54
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jack DraperVSLorenzo Musetti
6Set 13
7Set 26

Jack Draper won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jack DraperLorenzo Musetti
52%
Career Win %
56%
25%
Win % on Clay
67%
82%
Holds Serve
79%
21%
Breaks Serve
22%
60%
1st Serve In
64%
73%
1st Serve Won
69%
37%
Return Pts Won
38%
7.4
Aces / match
3.7
62%
Tiebreak %
45%
25%
Deciding-set %
69%
1605
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jack Draper73 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti73 serves
Where they place their serve
15%Wide
7%Body
30%T
14%T
3%Body
32%Wide
36%Wide
4%Body
14%T
34%T
4%Body
8%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide32%
Top targetDeuce · Wide36%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jack Draper defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the ATP Madrid Masters on clay on 2 May 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.58 to Musetti's 2.54. Draper's clinical performance across both sets, particularly his control in the opening frame and composure in a tight second-set tiebreak, demonstrated the consistency required to progress through a Masters 1000 draw. The British player's ability to neutralise Musetti's clay-court strengths and convert pressure situations underscored his current form on the surface. Draper now advances to the Madrid final, where a strong showing would represent a significant step in his bid to establish himself among the tour's elite clay-court performers.