Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jacob FearnleyOpen full analysisTomáš MacháčOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayR64Saturday, April 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Fearnley 30%70% Macháč
3.20Recorded odds1.39
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jacob FearnleyVSTomáš Macháč
1Set 16
6Set 23
6Set 32

Jacob Fearnley won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jacob FearnleyTomáš Macháč
67%
Career Win %
50%
100%
Win % on Clay
60%
83%
Holds Serve
78%
24%
Breaks Serve
18%
62%
1st Serve In
62%
74%
1st Serve Won
69%
39%
Return Pts Won
35%
6.8
Aces / match
5.1
60%
Tiebreak %
64%
75%
Deciding-set %
62%
1540
Rating
1534
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jacob Fearnley78 serves
Where they place their serve
Tomáš Macháč86 serves
Where they place their serve
12%Wide
8%Body
33%T
19%T
1%Body
27%Wide
27%Wide
0%Body
26%T
16%T
0%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T33%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jacob Fearnley defeated Tomáš Macháč 1–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the Madrid Masters on clay on 26 April 2025, securing an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Macháč began dominantly, claiming the opening set with ease, but Fearnley regrouped to take control of the second and third sets, breaking the Czech player's resistance with increasingly commanding tennis. The turnaround proved decisive as Fearnley, the underdog at 3.2 odds, managed the conditions effectively after a sluggish start to progress through the opening round. The result marks a significant scalp for Fearnley at Masters level and suggests improved clay-court form heading deeper into the tournament.