Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jakub MenšíkOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

DohahardQFThursday, February 19, 2026
No-vig market probability
Menšík 11%89% Sinner
8.50Recorded odds1.06
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jakub MenšíkVSJannik Sinner
7Set 16
2Set 26
6Set 33

Jakub Menšík won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jakub MenšíkJannik Sinner
58%
Career Win %
78%
61%
Win % on Hard
79%
84%
Holds Serve
88%
17%
Breaks Serve
28%
60%
1st Serve In
61%
78%
1st Serve Won
76%
35%
Return Pts Won
41%
11.0
Aces / match
6.5
68%
Tiebreak %
69%
50%
Deciding-set %
56%
1612
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jakub Menšík85 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner90 serves
Where they place their serve
28%Wide
1%Body
25%T
16%T
6%Body
24%Wide
19%Wide
4%Body
28%T
16%T
12%Body
21%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide28%
Top targetDeuce · T28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jakub Menšík defeated Jannik Sinner 7–6, 2–6, 6–3 in the Qatar Open quarter-final on hard court, delivering a significant upset against the heavy pre-match favourite. Sinner entered as the overwhelming odds-on choice at 1.06, with Menšík priced at 8.5, yet the Czech player executed a composed performance to claim victory. After a closely contested opening set that went to a tie-break, Menšík took control in the second and third sets, breaking Sinner's resistance and securing his place in the semi-finals. The result represents a notable scalp for Menšík at Masters 1000 level and marks a rare stumble for Sinner at a tournament where he has been a dominant force in recent seasons.