Indian Wells MastershardR16Tuesday, March 10, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sinner 88%12% Fonseca
1.07Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Jannik SinnerVSJoao Fonseca
7Set 16
7Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Jannik SinnerJoao Fonseca
78%
Career Win %
60%
79%
Win % on Hard
61%
88%
Holds Serve
84%
28%
Breaks Serve
20%
61%
1st Serve In
66%
76%
1st Serve Won
71%
41%
Return Pts Won
37%
6.5
Aces / match
5.4
69%
Tiebreak %
53%
56%
Deciding-set %
47%
2147
Rating
1614
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Jannik Sinner75 serves
Where they place their serve
Joao Fonseca81 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
5%Body
31%T
19%T
8%Body
20%Wide
19%Wide
5%Body
30%T
20%T
9%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · T31%
Top targetDeuce · T30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Joao Fonseca 7–6 7–6 in the Indian Wells Masters R16 on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.07 to Fonseca's 8.09. The Italian top seed secured two tight sets against the Brazilian challenger, each decided by a single break or tiebreak margin. Sinner's composed performance in the crucial moments underscored his consistency at the ATP Masters 1000 level, though Fonseca's competitive showing in both sets suggests the young talent remains a threat on hard courts. The victory advances Sinner deeper into the tournament and maintains his unbeaten record against Fonseca at this stage.
