Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jannik SinnerOpen full analysisLorenzo MusettiOpen full analysis

US OpenhardQFWednesday, September 3, 2025
No-vig market probability
Sinner 94%6% Musetti
1.05Recorded odds16.01
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jannik SinnerVSLorenzo Musetti
6Set 11
6Set 24
6Set 32

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jannik SinnerLorenzo Musetti
78%
Career Win %
56%
79%
Win % on Hard
45%
88%
Holds Serve
79%
28%
Breaks Serve
22%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
76%
1st Serve Won
69%
41%
Return Pts Won
38%
6.5
Aces / match
3.7
69%
Tiebreak %
45%
56%
Deciding-set %
69%
2147
Rating
1634
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jannik Sinner75 serves
Where they place their serve
Lorenzo Musetti66 serves
Where they place their serve
20%Wide
13%Body
20%T
19%T
1%Body
27%Wide
29%Wide
8%Body
18%T
24%T
6%Body
15%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide27%
Top targetDeuce · Wide29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated fellow Italian Lorenzo Musetti 6–1, 6–4, 6–2 in the US Open quarter-final on hard court on 3 September 2025, delivering a commanding performance that confirmed his status as the tournament favourite. Sinner's dominant display allowed Musetti precious few opportunities, with the world number one controlling proceedings throughout all three sets. The result followed the pre-match odds, which heavily favoured Sinner at 1.05 against Musetti's 16.01. The emphatic nature of the victory—dropping only seven games across the match—underscores Sinner's relentless form at Flushing Meadows and his clear ascendancy in the head-to-head with his compatriot. Sinner advances to the semi-finals of the year's final Grand Slam.