Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jannik SinnerOpen full analysisNovak DjokovićOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardSFFriday, January 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sinner 89%11% Djoković
1.07Recorded odds8.63
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jannik SinnerVSNovak Djoković
6Set 13
3Set 26
6Set 34
4Set 46
4Set 56

Novak Djoković won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jannik SinnerNovak Djoković
78%
Career Win %
77%
79%
Win % on Hard
79%
88%
Holds Serve
86%
28%
Breaks Serve
28%
61%
1st Serve In
65%
76%
1st Serve Won
73%
41%
Return Pts Won
40%
6.5
Aces / match
5.9
69%
Tiebreak %
61%
56%
Deciding-set %
71%
2147
Rating
1802
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jannik Sinner133 serves
Where they place their serve
Novak Djoković159 serves
Where they place their serve
23%Wide
14%Body
16%T
18%T
11%Body
18%Wide
30%Wide
9%Body
14%T
21%T
8%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Wide23%
Top targetDeuce · Wide30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Novak Djoković defeated Jannik Sinner 3–6, 6–3, 4–6, 6–4, 6–4 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard court on 30 January 2026, in a significant upset given that Sinner entered as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.07. Djoković, positioned as the underdog at 8.63, recovered from losing the opening set to take control of the contest, securing the second set decisively before weathering Sinner's resistance in the third. The veteran's experience proved decisive in the closing stages, as he claimed the fourth and fifth sets to reach the final. The result underscores Djoković's capacity to deliver in high-pressure moments on his favoured hard court, while Sinner's loss marks a setback in what had been a strong tournament for the younger player.