Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jannik SinnerOpen full analysisRafael JodarOpen full analysis

Madrid MastersclayQFWednesday, April 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Sinner 82%18% Jodar
1.15Recorded odds5.13
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jannik SinnerVSRafael Jodar
6Set 12
7Set 26

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jannik SinnerRafael Jodar
78%
Career Win %
61%
77%
Win % on Clay
67%
88%
Holds Serve
75%
28%
Breaks Serve
26%
61%
1st Serve In
64%
76%
1st Serve Won
69%
41%
Return Pts Won
40%
6.5
Aces / match
3.3
69%
Tiebreak %
40%
56%
Deciding-set %
60%
2147
Rating
1584
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jannik Sinner78 serves
Where they place their serve
Rafael Jodar73 serves
Where they place their serve
24%Wide
3%Body
26%T
13%T
4%Body
31%Wide
23%Wide
8%Body
21%T
18%T
5%Body
25%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide31%
Top targetAd · Wide25%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Rafael Jodar 6–2, 7–6 in the quarterfinals of the Madrid Masters on clay, confirming his status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.15. Sinner's commanding first set demonstrated his dominance on the surface, while Jodar mounted modest resistance in the second, pushing the Italian to a tiebreak before succumbing. The result extends Sinner's strong run through the Spanish capital and positions him as a serious contender for the title as he advances to the semifinals.