Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jasmine PaoliniOpen full analysisKatie BoulterOpen full analysis

MadridclayR64Friday, April 25, 2025
No-vig market probability
Paolini 79%21% Boulter
1.22Recorded odds4.63
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jasmine PaoliniVSKatie Boulter
6Set 11
6Set 22

Jasmine Paolini won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jasmine PaoliniKatie Boulter
62%
Career Win %
44%
79%
Win % on Clay
25%
68%
Holds Serve
64%
38%
Breaks Serve
30%
68%
1st Serve In
59%
62%
1st Serve Won
65%
45%
Return Pts Won
42%
1.2
Aces / match
2.7
71%
Tiebreak %
67%
61%
Deciding-set %
71%
1629
Rating
1488
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jasmine Paolini48 serves
Where they place their serve
Katie Boulter36 serves
Where they place their serve
10%Wide
21%Body
25%T
8%T
6%Body
29%Wide
22%Wide
22%Body
11%T
11%T
19%Body
14%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Wide22%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jasmine Paolini defeated Katie Boulter 6–1, 6–2 in the first round of the Madrid Masters 1000 on clay on 25 April 2025, confirming her status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.22 to Boulter's 4.63. The Italian's dominance was emphatic, dropping just three games across two sets as she moved through the early stage of the tournament with relative ease. The decisive nature of the victory underscored Paolini's superiority on the surface and against her British opponent in this particular encounter. The result positions Paolini favourably as she progresses deeper into Madrid's draw.