Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Jasmine PaoliniOpen full analysisSofia KeninOpen full analysis

BeijinghardR32Sunday, September 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Paolini 74%26% Kenin
1.32Recorded odds3.72
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Jasmine PaoliniVSSofia Kenin
6Set 13
6Set 20

Jasmine Paolini won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Jasmine PaoliniSofia Kenin
62%
Career Win %
44%
52%
Win % on Hard
45%
68%
Holds Serve
69%
38%
Breaks Serve
26%
68%
1st Serve In
67%
62%
1st Serve Won
63%
45%
Return Pts Won
40%
1.2
Aces / match
1.6
71%
Tiebreak %
50%
61%
Deciding-set %
54%
1629
Rating
1545
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Jasmine Paolini59 serves
Where they place their serve
Sofia Kenin42 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
20%Body
14%T
10%T
24%Body
15%Wide
17%Wide
5%Body
31%T
21%T
7%Body
19%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Body24%
Top targetDeuce · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jasmine Paolini defeated Sofia Kenin 6–3, 6–0 in the first round of the Beijing Masters 1000 on hard court, delivering a dominant performance that confirmed her status as the pre-match favourite. Paolini's commanding display saw her concede just three games across two sets, with Kenin unable to mount sustained resistance against the Italian's aggressive tennis. The result proved decisive odds-wise, with Paolini's 1.32 favourite pricing vindicated by the decisive margin of victory. This convincing opening win positions Paolini well as she advances through the draw at one of the season's premier hard-court events.